Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.807903 2.067150 2.351939 2.688247 3.074880 3.505855 4.023262
2025-08-24 1.436473 1.775699 2.179353 2.696074 3.341486 4.123027 5.144286
2025-08-31 1.163005 1.534779 2.007899 2.656320 3.525438 4.655124 6.243118
2025-09-07 1.026002 1.433694 1.984004 2.785015 3.927939 5.510268 7.884935
2025-09-14 0.902342 1.325812 1.927816 2.851959 4.245839 6.287263 9.535974
2025-09-21 0.784773 1.205521 1.831809 2.839958 4.438011 6.899805 11.030600
2025-09-28 0.668423 1.068283 1.688410 2.729983 4.456420 7.240026 12.140385
2025-10-05 0.622711 1.033526 1.696099 2.855228 4.860792 8.239783 14.471223
2025-10-12 0.586102 1.007578 1.712642 2.994035 5.302315 9.355691 17.166512
2025-10-19 0.541287 0.961151 1.687583 3.055193 5.612613 10.279791 19.649973
2025-10-26 0.500787 0.916655 1.659308 3.104690 5.904697 11.204431 22.267666
2025-11-02 0.447699 0.842501 1.568213 3.024272 5.937928 11.641116 23.983145
2025-11-09 0.390914 0.755923 1.446215 2.873390 5.822226 11.789479 25.173382
2025-11-16 0.356869 0.709147 1.394620 2.855228 5.972170 12.495111 27.665550
2025-11-23 0.322847 0.658301 1.328915 2.799418 6.035489 13.028513 29.866965
2025-11-30 0.310810 0.650779 1.349575 2.927869 6.513366 14.523410 34.519749
2025-12-07 0.293955 0.631046 1.342331 2.994381 6.862229 15.780232 38.822187
2025-12-14 0.271883 0.597417 1.301343 2.979664 7.021683 16.622119 42.245027
2025-12-21 0.244234 0.548269 1.220678 2.863008 6.922961 16.834613 44.096361
2025-12-28 0.237409 0.545450 1.243571 2.994036 7.446163 18.646250 50.483765
2026-01-04 0.231769 0.544686 1.270997 3.139560 8.026624 20.689083 57.872766
2026-01-11 0.221176 0.530911 1.266094 3.203645 8.405911 22.265024 64.231635
2026-01-18 0.210650 0.516093 1.256933 3.255556 8.760299 23.827196 70.837933